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Policy

Tyler Hansbrough

Iran Signals Willingness for Nuclear Negotiations Amid U.S. Military Pressure, Draft Agreement Under Preparation Wartime Posture Maintained, Risk of Armed Confrontation Persists U.S.

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Niamh O’Sullivan

Move to Invoke Section 122 and Pursue Section 301 in ParallelChina’s Exit from Punitive Rates Alters Negotiation Dynamics

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David O'Neill

The issue is LLM adoption, not ownership Regulation matters more than sovereignty Implementation beats symbolism When large language models (LLMs) first became publicly available, talks frequently focused on a race to own

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Niamh O’Sullivan

Rising Costs and Weak Demand Drive Closure WaveIndustrial Spillover Intensifies, Manufacturing Ecosystem Shaken

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Keith Lee

AI misuse is spreading faster as advanced models become widely available National safeguards alone cannot contain cross-border diffusion of high-risk systems A targeted US–China agreement is crucial to slow global AI misuse Acc

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Stefan Schneider

Signs of Nuclear Talks Collapse, Military Options Fully DeployedIsrael–U.S. Strikes Fail to Eliminate Nuclear Variable

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Ethan McGowan

China’s naval grey-zone tactics are reshaping maritime power without open war Industrial scale and constant presence give Beijing quiet leverage Without policy reform, strategic erosion will continue In 2024, it be

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Erik Van der Meer

Cash bonuses cannot fix delayed childbearing policy failures Later births reflect structural insecurity, not lost desire for children Only institutional reform can shift fertility timing sustainably The most telling

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Ethan McGowan

The Trump G20 agenda narrows the forum to economic power projection It shifts focus from ESG cooperation to U.S.–China competition Institutions must adapt to a more fragmented global order When the U.S.

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Ethan McGowan

Japan arms exports end an 80-year taboo and create a major strategic inflection The shift combines legal change, record budgets, and political mandate—money meets law Tokyo must pair exports with strict controls or risk a regional arms spiral

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David O'Neill

Section 702 reform must protect privacy and security AI competitiveness does not require unchecked surveillance Clear legal limits can strengthen trust and innovation Reports from 2023 and watchdog groups indicate that U.S.

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Oliver Griffin

Taiwan Allocates $40 Billion in Defense Spending to Counter China and Reinforce Military Capabilities Taiwan, Japan, and the Philippines Bolster Institutional Security Cooperation and Joint Drills Fears Mount Over Paralysis of Sea Lanes and Global Supply Chains in the Event of Armed Conflict

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Siobhán Delaney

Nuclear Icebreaker Capable of Cutting Through 2.5-Meter Ice Arctic Pipeline as Hedge Against Western Maritime Blockade Latecomer United States Enters Arctic Route Rivalry China is accelerating its “

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Ethan McGowan

War weakens democracy not by necessity, but by creating incentives for leaders to centralize power The erosion of courts, media, and civil liberties often outlasts the conflict itself Protecting democratic institutions during crisis is a policy choice, not a luxury

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Ethan McGowan

India growth momentum is strong, but its durability depends on education reform Investment gains will fade unless skills systems scale with industry demand The real test is whether growth becomes long-term capability India i

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Stefan Schneider

Gaps in production capacity, build costs, and supply chain concentrationOverseas construction followed by U.S.-based maintenance scenario

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Tyler Hansbrough

U.S. FY2026 Tariff Revenues Surge 304%, Delivering Short-Term Fiscal Relief Delayed Supreme Court Ruling Sustains Risk of Retroactive Refunds Tariff Burden Shifted to U.S. Firms and Households, Raising Growth Concerns U.S.

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Siobhán Delaney

House Rejects Rule Blocking Anti-Tariff Resolution Senate Approval and Presidential Veto Power Constrain Practical Effect Alternative Measures Prepared Under Trade Expansion Act Section 232 and Trade Act Sections 301 and 122 The U.S.

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David O'Neill

America First tariffs avoided an immediate recession but shifted trade into geopolitical strategy Short-term stability hides real household costs and long-run productivity risks The real test is whether tariffs build lasting capacity without weakening institutions

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