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Financial

The Economy Ed…

Bank runs now unfold in hours, not weeks Longer bonus deferral lowers bank risk; bonus caps show less Pay should reward resilience, not just loss avoidance In a single day, on March 9, 2023, Silicon Valley Bank saw o

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The Economy Ed…

Renminbi trade settlement nearly doubled, but reserve share fell Fragile banks and LGFV debt make capital-account opening risky Memories of 2015-2016 capital flight keep Beijing’s controls in place

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The Economy Ed…

Easy money does not measurably lift incumbents’ vote shares Political pressure leaves higher prices and inflation expectations behind Election-year deficits persist, burdening the governments that follow In 385 parliam

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The Economy Ed…

Repo's convenience premium holds while Treasuries lose theirs Fiscal supply, dealer constraints and volatility complicate attribution Dollar demand persists, increasingly through shorter-term instruments The convenience

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The Economy Ed…

Stablecoins address local financial weaknesses, particularly in emerging economies Most activity redistributes existing dollars rather than creating output Their global macroeconomic impact remains limited despite growing adoption

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The Economy Ed…

Emerging economies hold about three quarters of stablecoins Crises and capital controls push savers into digital dollars China’s e-CNY scales at home but lacks foreign demand Between 2018 and 2025, an estimated $21.4 trilli

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The Economy Ed…

Buyouts lift supplier sales but squeeze margins in downturns Nexperia’s ownership fight threatened Europe’s car production lines Merger review rarely examines effects across the whole value chain When

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The Economy Ed…

Oil price shocks no longer push America into recession Shale output turned the US into a net petroleum exporter Venezuela’s oil deal extends Washington’s reach over supply and refining U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

Tax transparency ended secrecy but offshore fund centres kept growing China now taxes residents’ offshore trusts at a 20% rate Compliance costs favour Cayman, Singapore and Luxembourg over smaller centres The OECD G

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The Economy Ed…

EU lists and haven indexes measure different things Each centre’s product shapes its real risk Formal compliance scores outpace actual enforcement On the 9th of October 2026, EU finance ministers removed Panama

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The Economy Ed…

Cayman shares tax data but still levies zero tax Fund numbers rose as compliance costs shrank administrator ranks Neutrality holds only where home countries tax offshore income In 2024, the Cayman Islands tax agency t

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The Economy Ed…

Europe’s bank rwules assume a lead it has lost European scale-ups rely on foreign money for late rounds Targeted deregulation could speed catch-up without risking stability In 2008, the total value of publicly traded compan

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The Economy Ed…

Forward guidance errors linger when shocks keep hitting Warsh dropped rate-path signals in favour of incoming data Markets paid the transition through volatility and record hedging On March 17, 2021, the median projection of

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The Economy Ed…

Tokenized repo volume has flattened near $360 billion daily Instant settlement removes netting and raises pre-funding needs Pontes helps, but the net efficiency gain remains unproven In December 2025, Broadridge

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The Economy Ed…

Left-wing fiscal populism leaves central banks paying for decades Trump’s push for cheap money cost Treasury markets’ trust Thirty-year Treasury yields hit 5.70%, highest since 2002 Ten years after a left-wing populist government to

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The Economy Ed…

Tariffs added far less to inflation than feared Distribution margins halved what tariffs did to shelf prices Energy reached services; tariff effects stayed within goods At their highest point, in Feb

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Tyler Hansbrough

SpaceX pursues another major financing round, adding to its borrowings after its IPO Alphabet, Amazon and Meta sharply increase bond issuance as AI investment costs soar Growing private-sector debt supply adds to upward pressure on U.S.

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