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Financial

Oliver Griffin

“Just one conversation with Warsh”: Trump denies allegations of infringing on Fed independence Warsh signaled commitment to independent decision-making even before Senate confirmation Could the Warsh Fed’s “smaller Fed” vision lay the groundwork for greater independence?

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The Economy Ed…

Downturns can push households to work more as income and security weaken Monetary tightening may trigger the shock without uniquely causing the labor response Policy should separate rate effects from broader household self-insurance during recessions

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Tyler Hansbrough

Beijing actively steers private capital into semiconductor and AI sectors China lowers financial-market barriers and accelerates renminbi internationalization Foreign holdings of Chinese bonds and renminbi’s share of global trading remain subdued

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

New York’s high taxes and tighter regulations intensify Wall Street’s exodus Texas and Florida attract New York defectors with tax advantages and financial infrastructure Southern corporate belt expands into technology, energy and real estate

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The Economy Ed…

Media coverage volume shapes inflation expectations, mainly among politically neutral viewers Partisan viewers barely shift; their channels already discuss inflation nonstop Repetition matters most once personal experience stops predicting prices

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The Economy Ed…

Markets already price a startup's future U.S. expansion, rewarding CEOs with multinational track records European founders now treat U.S.

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Tyler Hansbrough

Global insurers accelerate development of products targeting data center operators Rapid expansion of data center market drives corresponding surge in risk exposure Existing insurance frameworks leave clear coverage gaps, intensifying competition during market transition

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Aoife Brennan

Bank of Japan signals further tightening after June rate hike Gradual approach loses ground, raising concerns over wages and domestic demand U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

QE saved 2008 without inflation but fueled a 40-year high in 2021 The difference was the regime: deep slack in 2008, near-full employment in 2021 Supply shocks plus unspent savings turned overheating risk into a real inflation surge

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The Economy Ed…

Lower switching costs make deposit rates respond faster to central-bank moves The same digital convenience can accelerate deposit flight during stress Bank supervision must now operate in hours, not weeks On March 9, 2023,

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Siobhán Delaney

Cutting the food consumption tax to 1% to create an annual revenue shortfall of $29.9 billion Yen-selling pressure fueled by fiscal instability and rising government bond yields BOJ tightening bias intensifies as yen weakness drives up import prices

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The Economy Ed…

Debt-service costs reveal fiscal pressure better than debt ratios alone Financing conditions determine when high debt becomes a real budget constraint Caribbean economies show why volatile states need wider fiscal buffers A ten p

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The Economy Ed…

Europe’s banking union remains divided by national rules Fragmentation raises financing costs for European firms Common safeguards could unite banking without weakening stability Cross-border loans make up

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The Economy Ed…

Euro-area banks cross borders, but their safety nets remain national Deregulation still increases credit growth and banking risk Europe needs shared regulation, resolution, and crisis support Eighty-one billion euros.

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Matthew Reuter

Food consumption tax cut to 1% weakens annual revenue base by $34.5 billion Additional bond issuance and refinancing costs likely to rise to fill funding gap Weak yen and rising import prices risk entrenching a fiscal-monetary vicious cycle Japanes

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

Wall Street hedges swell to record highs as surprise rate-hike bets gain traction Fed holds rates to await further data, prompting an unwinding of excessive tightening bets Warsh ushers in a new monetary-policy regime: “Watch the ball, not the referee”

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Siobhán Delaney

Property downturn weakens both land-finance revenues and household wealth foundations State capital and policy finance deployed to build equity-market-centred capital circulation Stock-market boom coexists with real-economy stagnation, exposing limits of the growth transition

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The Economy Ed…

Dollar privilege can erode before formal displacement Higher borrowing costs outweigh the exchange-rate effect War accelerates shifts that markets have already begun One number should stop any reader cold.

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