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Financial

Anne-Marie Nicholson

Lower-Income Spending Accelerates as Affluent Consumption Holds Steady Wage Recovery, Family Support and AI Employment Effects Converge ‘C-Shaped’ and ‘G-Shaped’ Diagnoses Gain Traction as the ‘K-Shaped’ Divide Narrows

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The Economy Ed…

Norwegian data show portfolio adjustment takes years, not months Slow adjustment turns dangerous when equity premium shifts are abrupt Policy and portfolio implications diverge based on shock type When Norway aboli

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The Economy Ed…

Pension funds are shifting fast from defined benefit to defined contribution Netherlands offers the clearest real-time test of the transition Falling long-term bond demand may be pushing US Treasury yields up <

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Matthew Reuter

Fed signals possibility of further tightening after holding rates steady in July Global financial markets treat ECB and BOJ rate hikes as virtually certain Heat waves, drought and military conflicts compound inflationary pressures worldwide

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Siobhán Delaney

ICBC, Agricultural Bank of China, and insurers among eight firms to raise $50.2 billion in capital Expanded bank lending capacity aimed at reviving investment and consumption Weak household borrowing and concentration of corporate lending constrain spillover to domestic demand

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

Japanese household spending squeezed by high inflation and declining disposable income “From 8% to 1%”: Takaichi government moves to cut food consumption tax Backlash feared when tax rate is restored, alongside fiscal strain from revenue shortfall

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Aoife Brennan

Government bond yields rise in tandem across the U.S., Japan and major European economies Middle East oil shock and sovereign debt concerns drive up risk premiums Surging investment puts fiscal management and the real economy on alert worldwide

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The Economy Ed…

Türkiye's 2021–23 rate cuts and KKM shifted currency risk onto the state Washington and Tokyo now defend the yen via FIMA-collateralized borrowing instead Both cases buy time at rising cost, not remove the rate differential

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The Economy Ed…

Emerging-market firms pay a persistent country-level borrowing premium Deeper local savings can widen access and lower yields Financial liberalisation expands access but adds global-rate exposure A company

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The Economy Ed…

More information can worsen beliefs when signals are unrepresentative Trust shapes which economic signals households choose to believe Transparency works best when uncertainty and timing remain explicit In an international

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The Economy Ed…

China’s trade power is becoming a financial transmission channel Emerging markets came first; advanced markets now respond too RMB policy could redirect larger Chinese capital flows abroad At the end of 2025,

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Aoife Brennan

China’s trade surplus expands as an undervalued yuan boosts price competitiveness Western pressure for appreciation intensifies; China insists it has “never sought gains through its currency’s value” Prospect of simultaneous South Korean and Japanese currency appreciation heightens tensions across East Asian markets

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Siobhán Delaney

Deficits accumulate even during economic expansion amid tax cuts and higher government spending Treasury buybacks aimed at containing long-term yields fall short of a fundamental solution U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

Singapore and Hong Kong's dollar pegs fit stablecoins naturally Japan restricts issuance but absorbs liquidity institutionally Southeast Asia's remittance workers drive bottom-up adoption In 2025, stablecoin funds moving w

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Matthew Reuter

Fed officials discussed the possibility of raising interest rates at the July FOMC meeting Middle East uncertainty fuels energy price volatility and compounds inflation risks Trump faces a midterm-election dilemma, while Iran’s economy also enters crisis mode

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The Economy Ed…

Berlin’s rent-cap legacy still depresses housing valuations Policy uncertainty pushed investors and builders toward caution Expropriation debate keeps regulatory risk embedded in prices By 2024, three years after Berlin's r

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Aoife Brennan

Single SMH Put Purchase Accounts for More Than 30% of Total Premiums Big Tech’s Massive AI Spending Spree Raises Questions Over Monetization Semiconductor Stocks Face Turbulence if the AI Bubble Bursts Investors are increasingly betting on declin

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