Policy

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Figure 2: New mortgage rates track the federal funds rate closely; the outstanding stock adjusts far more slowly and with a lag of years. Related article:

Figure 2: MiCA's redemption promise leaves the EU issuer as the only fixed point when outflows accelerate. Related article:

Figure 2: MiniMax accounted for nearly four-fifths of the exchanges Anthropic attributes to distillation, dwarfing Moonshot's and DeepSeek's shares. Related article:

Figure 1: Prices tend to rise before peaceful years and stall or reverse before conflict. Related article: G

Figure 2: Skills account for most of the modeled GDP effect. Related article: Migration and Econom

Figure 1: Euro area GDP falls sharply in the model's El Niño years, 2027 and 2030, while inflation and the policy rate move the other way; the world follows the same pattern on a smaller scale.

Figure 2: A carbon tax aligned with national targets lifts inflation and depresses output most in oil-exporting economies; advanced economies see smaller, shorter-lived effects. Relat

Figure 1: Nearly half of urban China now works without a permanent contract and on-demand hiring dominates factory floors at peak season. Related article: Precar

Figure 1: China's migrant workforce is aging fast and barely growing, undercutting the labor base a consumption economy needs. Related article: Precarious Work

The shadow fleet's share of Baltic exports kept growing through six rounds of sanctions. Related Articles: [Russian Sanctions] A Larger Package

The official recovery narrative stops exactly where independent estimates begin. Related Articles: [Russian Sanctions] What Satellite Data Reveals Behin

Losing one dominant supplier leaves major strategic materials exposed. Related Articles: China Decoupling and the $23.6 Trillion Cost of Economic Securi

Decoupling steadily widens the investment gap through 2050. Related Articles: China Decoupling and the $23.6 Trillion Cost of Economic Security | The Eco

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 China's trade openness spiked and partly retreated after its mid-2000s export boom.

The EU to China leverage gap has closed almost completely.